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HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
2100 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
SAINT JOHN 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
SABA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
BARBUDA 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ANTIGUA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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